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Consequences Of The Iraqi Election by Allan Topol, ![]()
ARTICLE ORIGINALLY APPEARED AT
MILITARY.COM, February 9, 2005
However, there are enormous consequences that extend well beyond Iraq. These impacts are being felt throughout the Middle East, Europe and back in the United States.
Prior to the election, the view was being expressed by some in the Middle East and trumpeted by the American media that elections and democracy are inconsistent with Islam. For example, the Washington Post reported in on January 24 that Abu Msab Zarquawi, the insurgent leader declared that democracy is an evil principle being foisted on the Iraqi people by crusader harlots. Three days later the most influential paper in our nations capital had a long article presenting the view of Iraqi tribal leaders that free elections were inconsistent with Shiite traditions and their religious structures.
Articles along these lines were appearing so frequently that I began to have a tiny bit of doubt as to whether the United States was right in seeking to nurture a democratic government for Iraq. Maybe we were modern day crusaders seeking to impose Judeao Christian values and Jeffersonian ideals on people whose own culture called for something quite different. Either a religious hierarchy or an autocrat. A new Saddam lite.
Happily, the huge turnout of Iraqis to vote dispelled those doubts. Islam is not incompatible with democracy. Nor can we say that Middle Eastern people who have long suffered under tyranny do not want self government.
This may have been a great result for the United States in Iraq, but its causing lots of discomfort among the rulers of two of Americas closest so-called allies in the Middle East. Namely Egypt and Saudi Arabia. I have no doubt that we have hastened the inevitable end of Mubarak and his cronies as well as the House of Saud. Whether this is good or bad for the Unites States depends on who will be swept into power on the tails of the popular unrest that has been building in both countries before the Iraqi elections.
The mullahs in Iran have taken notice of what took place in Iraq. If Saddam could be swept out of power, they may be next. Lets see if they soften their approach toward the Untied States.
Europe is a different matter. Here I see only positive benefits. The rift between the United States on the one hand, and France and Germany on the other had gotten totally out of control over the Iraqi war. Yes, many Americans love to hate the French; and many French people love to hate the Americans. But we face numerous common problems such as a declared war by Islamic terrorists, the return to autocracy in Russia, the need for a reliable source of imported oil, the reality of a powerful China, and the need for stable world currency and economy, only to mention a few. Were like an old married couple, who had better figure out how to get along because both wolves and creditors are at our door.
Happily, both sides have shown a willingness to use the Iraqi election as the basis for if not a kiss and make up at least a polite handshake, which is a long way from where we were a month ago. Both French and German leaders have offered congratulations to President Bush and announced a willingness to work with the United States in helping to stabilize Iraq. Bush for his part has resisted the temptation to gloat and make our partners in the Atlantic alliance grovel. Both sides were looking for a way out of their impasse. The elections provided it.
Finally, there has been political fallout in the United States. Hard core Bush haters will not alter their view of our president. However, some Americans who were on the fence about the Iraqi war are, after the election, leaning toward the notion that getting rid of Saddam Hussein was a benefit for the Iraqi people. That was the message conveyed by millions of Iraqis who participated for the first time in the political process.
Bottom line, spring came early to Washington this year. On January 30th, to be precise. When Iraqis turned out in huge numbers to vote.
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